long term

Portfolio commentary New buy/sell Stocks– Nov 2017

As mentioned in earlier blog posts also, we have been seller of many of our stocks like Adani enterprise, Rain industries (Which now is multi bagger, though we have small holding left and will be initiating sell soon), Westlife development etc. (Mostly small and Mid-caps) and buyers of Reliance, Tata motors, Jubilant food works and Adlabs entertainment.

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Why we are out of Westlife(Mcdonald’s)?

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Last week Westlife Development the master franchisee of McDonald’s in the south and west India declared their annual numbers. 

We analyzed the numbers and are not at all happy with them . its been years and years of losses and sales are marginally higher to around 900 crores. Marcet cap is around 4000 crore and we now getting nervous about potential returns from this stock.

We have accumulated this stock at around 160-175 and started selling it around 250 with last lot sold at 220 .

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Markets @Euphoric Levels… We at Shikharcapital sitting like lame ducks .. why ? why ? why ?

So for last one month markets are flirting at 9000 level to 9300 level and we are booking profits bit by bit.

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We have booked some profits in Adani , Rain , Westlife , Escorts , Dewan housing etc and sitting on 15 % cash as of now. Some of the profits booked from small and mid cap like associated alcohol etc are plowed back into Reliance and Tata Motors.

So, it’s tough times as — “I will tell you the secret to getting rich on Wall Street. You try to be greedy when others are fearful. And you try to be fearful when others are greedy. –Warren Buffett”

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@9000 we ran away … whats up with Shikhar Capital???

“It takes character to sit with all that cash and to do nothing.I didn’t get top where I am by going after mediocre opportunities.”

Charles T. Munger, Poor Charlie’s Almanack: The Wit and Wisdom of Charles T. Munger

“We both, Warren Buffett and I, insist on a lot of time being available almost every day to just sit and think. That is very uncommon in American business. We read and think.” – Charlie Munger

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We had got into 10% cash, booked some profits in Mid-cap names like Adani, Rain,  Reliance etc. and now we have cash and have nothing to do.

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Market @ 9000/- What’s Shikhar Capital is doing???Booking profits and running !!

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So market still stares at 9000/- levels and our earlier targets of 9400-9600 are still intact.

However, again the mid cap and small cap stocks are hitting roughs and whenever stocks like Lycos starts hitting upper circuit we get skeptical. Stocks like Delta corp are up 70 % from Demonetisation and Brexit low. How come they are commanding such (more…)

What’s happening with TATA MOTORS? A compelling buy at 450/- ??

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So,after a long time markets are above 8800. And again the cigar butt stocks are going to the stratosphere. It’s becoming really difficult to recommend stocks when the stock market are at the higher end of valuations, BTW we still believe we are on to 9600/- soon. At this point of time, we at SHIKHAR CAPITAL are  “All In” as they say in Poker, With top recommendations include Westlife and Jubilant food works.

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So what is there after Budget, Elections & Some new Stock recommendations!!

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Hi all,

Thanks for the overwhelming response to the last post !!!! your  tweets were really heartwarming !!

So today’s four point agenda of the post are

1) Budget

2) Elections

3) Some update on recommended socks 

4) New Stock recommendations

I know the order should be upside down so I will keep it short…. (more…)

Is Reliance Industries “A dark horse” Stock !!

Is Reliance Industries the new dark horse!!

Reliance Industries is a stock which has not moved for a decade and in a decade even bank deposits would have doubled your money .

So why interested in Reliance Industries?? First a technical check ……..

Now ,all three Dow jones , Nifty and Reliance were at same place in 2008 . But after long 8 years Dow is almost 80 per cent up , Nifty 50 100% up and reliance down by 10%. (more…)