research

Why we are out of Westlife(Mcdonald’s)?

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Last week Westlife Development the master franchisee of McDonald’s in the south and west India declared their annual numbers. 

We analyzed the numbers and are not at all happy with them . its been years and years of losses and sales are marginally higher to around 900 crores. Marcet cap is around 4000 crore and we now getting nervous about potential returns from this stock.

We have accumulated this stock at around 160-175 and started selling it around 250 with last lot sold at 220 .

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Markets @Euphoric Levels… We at Shikharcapital sitting like lame ducks .. why ? why ? why ?

So for last one month markets are flirting at 9000 level to 9300 level and we are booking profits bit by bit.

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We have booked some profits in Adani , Rain , Westlife , Escorts , Dewan housing etc and sitting on 15 % cash as of now. Some of the profits booked from small and mid cap like associated alcohol etc are plowed back into Reliance and Tata Motors.

So, it’s tough times as — “I will tell you the secret to getting rich on Wall Street. You try to be greedy when others are fearful. And you try to be fearful when others are greedy. –Warren Buffett”

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Markets @9000/- and we have nothing to do ….!!WRONG!!

So markets crossed 9000 and we at Shikhar capital have nothing to do except waiting………………………………………………….

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For  killing time we are exploring company’s which are out of flavor or which wee have booked good profits. To name a few we are completely out from Associated alcohol, (more…)

@9000 we ran away … whats up with Shikhar Capital???

“It takes character to sit with all that cash and to do nothing.I didn’t get top where I am by going after mediocre opportunities.”

Charles T. Munger, Poor Charlie’s Almanack: The Wit and Wisdom of Charles T. Munger

“We both, Warren Buffett and I, insist on a lot of time being available almost every day to just sit and think. That is very uncommon in American business. We read and think.” – Charlie Munger

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We had got into 10% cash, booked some profits in Mid-cap names like Adani, Rain,  Reliance etc. and now we have cash and have nothing to do.

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Market commentary- Nifty @ 9000, UP elections and Global market views!!!

So Nifty is knocking at 9000/– Historic moment indeed. Fantastic volatility, first the lows of 6800 during last Jan ’16 – Feb’ 16, Then it went to highs of 8800, after that, it again went down to 8000 due to demonetisation & Trump(On same day ) and after that, a straight forward bullish march to 9000/-

We at Shikhar capital were lucky enough to get these lows and highs correct even though we don’t speculate. But since we are low on capital we have to churn our portfolios to get some more juice. If capital allows we would love to keep our portfolio intact for years together.

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Nifty @9000 Market commentary!!!

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So, Nifty at the doorsteps of  9000, all the bears are hiding and bulls are on the rampage , so the tide is getting higher.The D mart IPO of 18000 Crores  is one of the biggest and going to suck liquidity but who cares. 2008 bull market ended with Reliance power IPO, but before that DLF IPO (IPO price 1000  right now at 145 ) and Big Bazaar IPO (IPO price 1000 if I am correct and now n number of companies with god knows the complexity of valuations huh….). So are we on the cusp of the end of this run … we at SHIKHAR CAPITAL don’t think so….. (more…)

What we in India can learn from Berkshire Hathways newsletter 2016-17

So the annual newsletter of Berkshire Hathway is out and has all the wisdom needed for a value investor

 (http://berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2016ltr.pdf)

 

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Since Indian markets are at their higher end of valuations and all the stock recommendations from Shikhar capita are doing pretty well, it’s become very difficult to recommend new stocks, However

we decided to decode warren Buffett’s annual newsletter and how we read it … (more…)

Jet airways – Could it fly high?

Should you buy Jet Airways at 375/- 

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One of the toughest businesses in the world is airlines. Risks are too high and profit forecasts always go for a toss. There are long talks by Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger on why airlines are the bad business and their stocks even worst. (more…)

So what is there after Budget, Elections & Some new Stock recommendations!!

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Hi all,

Thanks for the overwhelming response to the last post !!!! your  tweets were really heartwarming !!

So today’s four point agenda of the post are

1) Budget

2) Elections

3) Some update on recommended socks 

4) New Stock recommendations

I know the order should be upside down so I will keep it short…. (more…)